StatChat - NASCAR Cup Series @ Homestead-Miami

Two races in, and we have some trends to analyze!  Take some of this analysis with a grain of salt, as there isn’t a whole lot of data yet in 2021.  However, we’re going to give it a try anyway.  This weekend, NASCAR returns to Florida for a trip to Homestead-Miami Speedway for the Dixie Vodka 400.  Let’s have a look at some data:

 

Homestead-Miami Speedway is a 1.5-mile oval that opened in 1995.  From 2002 to 2019, it hosted NASCAR’s final race of the season – this was changed to Phoenix last year.  With two wild-card races (in a super speedway and road course) to start the year, many see this as the first time we’ll be able to take stock of who has a legitimate shot to win it all this year.

 

The race will be 267 laps (for a total of 400.5 miles), with stage breaks occurring at 80 – 160 – 267.  The fuel window is approximately 62-66 laps.

 

NASCAR has run 752.70 miles so far this year, with only 9 cars having run all of them.

 

Top 5 Career Average Finishers at Homestead:

Kevin Harvick

7.40 over 20 races

Chase Elliott

8.00 over 5 races

Denny Hamlin

9.94 over 16 races

Martin Truex Jr.

10.31 over 16 races

Austin Dillon

12.57 over 7 races

 

Bottom 5 Career Average Finishers at Homestead:

Joey Gase

37.50 over 2 races

Ross Chastain

34.00 over 2 races

Michael McDowell

31.70 over 10 races

Corey LaJoie

31.25 over 4 races

Ryan Preece

29.00 over 3 races

 

Homestead-Miami is an Intermediate Track.

 

Top 5 Career Average Finishers at Intermediate Tracks

Kevin Harvick

11.74 over 359 races

Brad Keselowski

12.59 over 211 races

Kyle Busch

12.81 over 290 races

Chase Elliott

13.00 over 95 races

Denny Hamlin

13.25 over 274 races

 

There is a three-way tie for winningest driver at Homestead, with Tony Stewart, Greg Biffle and Denny Hamlin each having 3 wins. 

 

Notable drivers who have not won at Homestead:

Brad Keselowski

(has won at 17 other tracks)

Ryan Newman

(has won at 12 other tracks)

 

Kevin Harvick and Tyler Reddick list Homestead as their BEST track (although Reddick has only had one race at Homestead).  William Byron is the only driver to list Homestead as his WORST track.

 

Based on their point pace, let’s have a look at who’s having a better year than last year.

 

Drivers Faring Better than in 2020

Michael McDowell

+726 pts

Christopher Bell

+628 pts

Denny Hamlin

+568 pts

Joey Logano

+307 pts

Cole Custer

+306 pts

 

Drivers Faring Worse than in 2020

Matt DiBenedetto

-821 pts

Ryan Blaney

-669 pts

Tyler Reddick

-581 pts

Aric Almirola

-566 pts

Kyle Busch

-565 pts

 

 

For those that aren’t aware, the Manufacturer Standings are calculated by awarding points to the highest finisher for each manufacturer according to their finishing position.  (40 for 1st, 35 for 2nd, 34 for 3rd, etc.)  No stage points or playoff points count.

 

Manufacturer Standings

Ford

75

Toyota

72

Chevrolet

68

 

Here is the same formula, but used on a team-vs-team basis:

 

Chartered Team Standings

Joe Gibbs

72

Front Row

69

Stewart-Haas

64

Chip Ganassi

63

Hendrick

62

Penske

60

JTG-Daugherty

59

Spire

42

Richard Childress

37

Roush Fenway

32

23XI

31

Rick Ware

31

Richard Petty

24

Live Fast

23

Trackhouse

22

StarCom

9

Wood Brothers

5

 

 

 

The race begins Sunday, February 28th at 3:30 pm EST (12:30 pm PST) – Enjoy the race everyone!

 

Don’t forget to follow us on Twitter @StatChat_RR

 

Is there an error? Is there a stat missing that you’d like to see? Let us know!