The Playoff Forecast - Week 34 @ Kansas

Become a Patron!

Welcome to our NASCAR Cup Series Projections page.  The Playoff Forecast is where you will find the probability of each 2021 charter making the playoffs, their chances of advancing to future rounds, and also their odds of winning the Championship. 


Projections are calculated by simulating the 2021 Cup Series schedule 50,000 times, using a top-secret predictive formula that is based on 3 important factors: Driver History @ Each Track, Driver Recent Overall History, and Team Performance.


Since the playoffs have officially started, only the drivers that have are still alive will be tracked.  This will update with each round of the playoffs. 


This page will be updated every week, incorporating each week’s real results to (ideally) make the formula more accurate.  Keep checking back to see how your favorite driver’s odds change from week to week!


Forecast – After Race 33



Projected Winner of the Hollywood Casino 400 - Kansas







Don’t forget to follow us on Twitter @StatChat_RR

Or you can email directly:

Get all your StatChat Merch from the Racing Refresh online store!

Become a Racing Refresh Patron! Find us on Patreon!


Is there an error? Is there a stat missing that you’d like to see? Let us know!