![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/87071a_000e878a03b24706b8a16911a8c1dbf5~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_49,h_28,al_c,q_85,usm_0.66_1.00_0.01,blur_2,enc_auto/87071a_000e878a03b24706b8a16911a8c1dbf5~mv2.png)
By Adam Carabine
Welcome to the 2nd annual Playoff Forecast project.
Projections are calculated by simulating the 2022 Cup Series schedule 125,000 times, using a top-secret predictive formula that is based on 3 important factors: Driver History @ Each Track, Driver Recent Overall History, and Team Performance.
How to read it: The numbers in brackets show that driver’s position last week. The percentages in each column refer to the probability of that driver making it to that round.
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/87071a_75db512209ac4b0c97d2464436ab3980~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_60,h_72,al_c,q_85,usm_0.66_1.00_0.01,blur_2,enc_auto/87071a_75db512209ac4b0c97d2464436ab3980~mv2.png)
We have also simulated the week's Cup Series race. Check back each week to see who's favoured to win.
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/87071a_61322a34de1a47e1b6988f7d97fccdd3~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_56,h_72,al_c,q_85,usm_0.66_1.00_0.01,blur_2,enc_auto/87071a_61322a34de1a47e1b6988f7d97fccdd3~mv2.png)
Don’t forget to follow us on Twitter @StatChatRefresh
Or you can email directly: acarabine@racingrefresh.com
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